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    当前位置: 牛股吴粉胡网 > 吴粉胡股票经验 > 清华大学教授30年炒股经验总结,沪深两市几乎所有翻倍股,发现他们都有以下四个特征,掌握终身受益

    清华大学教授30年炒股经验总结,沪深两市几乎所有翻倍股,发现他们都有以下四个特征,掌握终身受益

    2020-04-19 0条评论

    (本[ben]文[wen]由[you]公[gong]众[zhong]号[hao]越[yue]声[sheng]投[tou]顾[gu](yslcw927))整[zheng]理[li],仅[jin]供[gong]参[can]考[kao],不[bu]构[gou]成[cheng]操[cao]作[zuo]建[jian]议[yi]。如[ru]自[zi]行[xing]操[cao]作[zuo],注[zhu]意[yi]仓[cang]位[wei]控[kong]制[zhi]和[he]风[feng]险[xian]自[zi]负[fu]。)接[jie]下[xia]来[lai]为[wei]大[da]家[jia]介[jie]绍[shao]"介[jie]绍[shao]清[qing]华[hua]大[da]学[xue]教[jiao]授[shou]30年[nian]炒[chao]股[gu]经[jing]验[yan]总[zong]结[jie],沪[hu]深[shen]两[liang]市[shi]几[ji]乎[hu]所[suo]有[you]翻[fan]倍[bei]股[gu],发[fa]现[xian]他[ta]们[men]都[du]有[you]以[yi]下[xia]四[si]个[ge]特[te]征[zheng],掌[zhang]握[wo]终[zhong]身[shen]受[shou]益[yi]"不[bu]懂[dong]的[de]就[jiu]来[lai]看[kan]看[kan]吧[ba]
    清[qing]华[hua]大[da]学[xue]教[jiao]授[shou]30年[nian]炒[chao]股[gu]经[jing]验[yan]总[zong]结[jie],沪[hu]深[shen]两[liang]市[shi]几[ji]乎[hu]所[suo]有[you]翻[fan]倍[bei]股[gu],发[fa]现[xian]他[ta]们[men]都[du]有[you]以[yi]下[xia]四[si]个[ge]特[te]征[zheng],掌[zhang]握[wo]终[zhong]身[shen]受[shou]益[yi]


    交[jiao]易[yi]成[cheng]功[gong]的[de]核[he]心[xin]要[yao]素[su]是[shi]:顺[shun]势[shi]、止[zhi]损[sun]、规[gui]则[ze]、执[zhi]行[xing]力[li]。


    顺[shun]势[shi]


    华[hua]尔[er]街[jie]家[jia]训[xun]十[shi]二[er]条[tiao]中[zhong]的[de]第[di]一[yi]条[tiao]是[shi]止[zhi]损[sun],以[yi]前[qian]我[wo]也[ye]这[zhe]样[yang]认[ren]为[wei]。但[dan]现[xian]在[zai],我[wo]觉[jue]得[de]第[di]一[yi]条[tiao]应[ying]该[gai]让[rang]位[wei]于[yu]顺[shun]势[shi]。如[ru]果[guo]你[ni]不[bu]会[hui]顺[shun]势[shi],那[na]么[me]你[ni]的[de]操[cao]作[zuo]就[jiu]必[bi]然[ran]会[hui]遭[zao]遇[yu]很[hen]多[duo]次[ci]止[zhi]损[sun]。由[you]此[ci],顺[shun]势[shi],是[shi]交[jiao]易[yi]四[si]要[yao]素[su]中[zhong]的[de]最[zui]重[zhong]要[yao]的[de]要[yao]素[su]。


    顺[shun]势[shi]而[er]为[wei],简[jian]单[dan]4个[ge]字[zi],每[mei]个[ge]交[jiao]易[yi]者[zhe]都[du]知[zhi]道[dao],甚[shen]至[zhi]都[du]能[nen]说[shuo]出[chu]一[yi]大[da]堆[dui]的[de]道[dao]道[dao]来[lai]。但[dan]真[zhen]正[zheng]理[li]解[jie]的[de]又[you]有[you]多[duo]少[shao]呢[ne]?从[cong]绝[jue]大[da]多[duo]数[shu]人[ren]亏[kui]损[sun]的[de]现[xian]实[shi]结[jie]果[guo]看[kan],真[zhen]正[zheng]理[li]解[jie]者[zhe],甚[shen]少[shao]。


    于[yu]我[wo]自[zi]己[ji],也[ye]就[jiu]是[shi]在[zai]今[jin]年[nian]初[chu]的[de]某[mou]个[ge]时[shi]刻[ke],我[wo]对[dui]趋[qu]势[shi]的[de]理[li]解[jie]突[tu]然[ran]清[qing]晰[xi]了[liao]很[hen]多[duo]。而[er]在[zai]之[zhi]前[qian]的[de]那[na]么[me]长[chang]时[shi]间[jian],我[wo]对[dui]趋[qu]势[shi]的[de]认[ren]识[shi],是[shi]模[mo]糊[hu]的[de],是[shi]摇[yao]摆[bai]不[bu]定[ding]的[de]。


    交[jiao]易[yi]者[zhe]必[bi]须[xu]对[dui]趋[qu]势[shi]有[you]自[zi]己[ji]的[de]判[pan]断[duan],在[zai]这[zhe]个[ge]基[ji]础[chu]上[shang],你[ni]才[cai]可[ke]能[nen]做[zuo]到[dao]顺[shun]势[shi]。我[wo]现[xian]在[zai]认[ren]为[wei],做[zuo]到[dao]“顺[shun]势[shi]”,须[xu]解[jie]决[jue]下[xia]述[shu]三[san]个[ge]问[wen]题[ti]:


    1、固[gu]定[ding]你[ni]的[de]趋[qu]势[shi]判[pan]断[duan]周[zhou]期[qi]。任[ren]何[he]的[de]趋[qu]势[shi]判[pan]断[duan]都[du]必[bi]须[xu]以[yi]一[yi]定[ding]的[de]交[jiao]易[yi]周[zhou]期[qi]作[zuo]为[wei]前[qian]提[ti]。有[you]些[xie]人[ren]看[kan]5分[fen]钟[zhong]线[xian]交[jiao]易[yi],有[you]些[xie]人[ren]则[ze]看[kan]30分[fen]钟[zhong],有[you]些[xie]看[kan]日[ri]线[xian],有[you]些[xie]看[kan]周[zhou]线[xian]。不[bu]同[tong]的[de]周[zhou]期[qi]级[ji]别[bie],所[suo]得[de]出[chu]的[de]趋[qu]势[shi]判[pan]断[duan]是[shi]不[bu]一[yi]样[yang]的[de],有[you]时[shi]甚[shen]至[zhi]是[shi]相[xiang]互[hu]矛[mao]盾[dun]的[de]。有[you]些[xie]书[shu]上[shang]说[shuo]:短[duan]周[zhou]期[qi]应[ying]该[gai]服[fu]从[cong]长[chang]周[zhou]期[qi]。


    而[er]我[wo]现[xian]在[zai]觉[jue]得[de],这[zhe]里[li]不[bu]存[cun]在[zai]谁[shui]服[fu]从[cong]谁[shui],也[ye]没[mei]有[you]对[dui]错[cuo]之[zhi]分[fen],关[guan]键[jian]在[zai]于[yu]:交[jiao]易[yi]者[zhe]必[bi]须[xu]明[ming]确[que]适[shi]合[he]自[zi]己[ji]个[ge]性[xing]的[de]趋[qu]势[shi]判[pan]断[duan]周[zhou]期[qi],而[er]不[bu]能[nen]忽[hu]长[chang]忽[hu]短[duan]。以[yi]我[wo]自[zi]己[ji]为[wei]例[li],我[wo]的[de]趋[qu]势[shi]判[pan]断[duan]周[zhou]期[qi]是[shi]日[ri]线[xian],周[zhou]线[xian]作[zuo]为[wei]辅[fu]助[zhu],具[ju]体[ti]出[chu]入[ru]场[chang]点[dian]位[wei]结[jie]合[he]60分[fen]钟[zhong]K线[xian]。


    2、确[que]定[ding]你[ni]的[de]趋[qu]势[shi]判[pan]断[duan]方[fang]法[fa]。进[jin]行[xing]判[pan]断[duan],就[jiu]得[de]有[you]具[ju]体[ti]的[de]方[fang]法[fa]依[yi]据[ju],而[er]不[bu]能[nen]拍[pai]脑[nao]袋[dai]。也[ye]就[jiu]是[shi]:趋[qu]势[shi]逆[ni]转[zhuan]的[de]判[pan]断[duan]依[yi]据[ju]是[shi]什[shi]么[me]?只[zhi]要[yao]这[zhe]个[ge]判[pan]断[duan]依[yi]据[ju]没[mei]有[you]成[cheng]立[li],则[ze]目[mu]前[qian]的[de]趋[qu]势[shi]仍[reng]延[yan]续[xu]。这[zhe]个[ge]判[pan]断[duan]方[fang]法[fa]必[bi]须[xu]相[xiang]对[dui]的[de]清[qing]晰[xi],而[er]不[bu]能[nen]很[hen]复[fu]杂[za]。交[jiao]易[yi]是[shi]艺[yi]术[shu]而[er]非[fei]科[ke]学[xue],所[suo]以[yi]没[mei]有[you]“完[wan]美[mei]而[er]精[jing]确[que]”的[de]方[fang]法[fa],但[dan]我[wo]们[men]又[you]必[bi]须[xu]有[you]一[yi]个[ge]方[fang]法[fa]来[lai]约[yue]束[shu]和[he]参[can]照[zhao]。我[wo]个[ge]人[ren]把[ba]均[jun]线[xian]、趋[qu]势[shi]线[xian]、大[da]形[xing]态[tai]突[tu]破[po]作[zuo]为[wei]趋[qu]势[shi]的[de]主[zhu]要[yao]判[pan]断[duan]依[yi]据[ju],以[yi]前[qian]也[ye]研[yan]究[jiu]技[ji]术[shu]指[zhi]标[biao],现[xian]在[zai]则[ze]不[bu]甚[shen]关[guan]注[zhu]。对[dui]于[yu]趋[qu]势[shi],有[you]三[san]个[ge]基[ji]本[ben]理[li]念[nian]需[xu]要[yao]强[qiang]调[diao],也[ye]就[jiu]是[shi]说[shuo]:


    1)新[xin]趋[qu]势[shi]的[de]酝[yun]酿[niang]需[xu]要[yao]时[shi]间[jian],非[fei]一[yi]日[ri]长[chang]阳[yang]或[huo]者[zhe]长[chang]阴[yin]所[suo]能[nen]逆[ni]转[zhuan];


    2)一[yi]旦[dan]确[que]立[li],就[jiu]会[hui]延[yan]续[xu]一[yi]段[duan]时[shi]间[jian];


    3)趋[qu]势[shi]的[de]推[tui]进[jin]是[shi]曲[qu]折[zhe]的[de],而[er]非[fei]一[yi]条[tiao]直[zhi]线[xian]。


    由[you]此[ci],基[ji]于[yu]这[zhe]三[san]个[ge]理[li]念[nian]的[de]趋[qu]势[shi]判[pan]断[duan]方[fang]法[fa],面[mian]对[dui]V型[xing]反[fan]转[zhuan],常[chang]常[chang]失[shi]效[xiao]。也[ye]因[yin]为[wei]趋[qu]势[shi]的[de]推[tui]进[jin]是[shi]曲[qu]折[zhe]的[de],由[you]此[ci],我[wo]们[men]应[ying]该[gai]对[dui]趋[qu]势[shi]演[yan]绎[yi]途[tu]中[zhong]的[de]正[zheng]常[chang]回[hui]调[diao]或[huo]反[fan]弹[dan],保[bao]持[chi]宽[kuan]容[rong]和[he]接[jie]受[shou]。


    3、针[zhen]对[dui]不[bu]同[tong]的[de]趋[qu]势[shi]状[zhuang]态[tai],明[ming]确[que]你[ni]的[de]应[ying]对[dui]策[ce]略[lue],也[ye]就[jiu]是[shi]操[cao]作[zuo]层[ceng]面[mian]的[de]如[ru]何[he]“顺[shun]”势[shi]。趋[qu]势[shi]有[you]两[liang]种[zhong]状[zhuang]态[tai]:


    1)单[dan]边[bian]趋[qu]势[shi]行[xing]情[qing](多[duo]头[tou]或[huo]空[kong]头[tou]);


    2)盘[pan]整[zheng]行[xing]情[qing]。


    我[wo]现[xian]在[zai]的[de]主[zhu]要[yao]策[ce]略[lue]是[shi]:我[wo]重[zhong]点[dian]操[cao]作[zuo]趋[qu]势[shi]行[xing]情[qing],回[hui]避[bi]盘[pan]整[zheng]行[xing]情[qing]。


    对[dui]于[yu]股[gu]市[shi],跌[die]势[shi]须[xu]绝[jue]对[dui]的[de]、无[wu]条[tiao]件[jian]空[kong]仓[cang]。对[dui]于[yu]今[jin]后[hou]的[de]操[cao]作[zuo],我[wo]越[yue]来[lai]越[yue]倾[qing]向[xiang]于[yu],我[wo]应[ying]该[gai]尽[jin]可[ke]能[nen]在[zai]历[li]史[shi]性[xing]的[de]底[di](头[tou])部[bu]建[jian]立[li]多[duo](空[kong])头[tou]仓[cang]位[wei],然[ran]后[hou]耐[nai]心[xin]持[chi]有[you],直[zhi]到[dao]趋[qu]势[shi]的[de]逆[ni]转[zhuan],大[da]波[bo]段[duan]交[jiao]易[yi]思[si]维[wei]。


    二[er]、止[zhi]损[sun]


    止[zhi]损[sun],无[wu]论[lun]如[ru]何[he]强[qiang]调[diao]其[qi]重[zhong]要[yao]性[xing],都[du]不[bu]为[wei]过[guo]。即[ji]所[suo]谓[wei]哪[na]怕[pa]是[shi]错[cuo]误[wu]的[de]止[zhi]损[sun]也[ye]是[shi]对[dui]的[de]。


    止[zhi]损[sun],这[zhe]个[ge]字[zi]眼[yan]听[ting]起[qi]来[lai]令[ling]人[ren]很[hen]不[bu]舒[shu]服[fu],但[dan]如[ru]果[guo]你[ni]是[shi]非[fei]常[chang]厌[yan]恶[e]这[zhe]个[ge]名[ming]词[ci]的[de]话[hua],那[na]你[ni]的[de]投[tou]资[zi]行[xing]为[wei]就[jiu]已[yi]经[jing]埋[mai]下[xia]了[liao]重[zhong]大[da]隐[yin]患[huan],就[jiu]像[xiang]一[yi]颗[ke]定[ding]时[shi]炸[zha]弹[dan],迟[chi]早[zao]要[yao]毁[hui]灭[mie]你[ni]的[de]投[tou]资[zi]生[sheng]涯[ya]。


    为[wei]什[shi]么[me]我[wo]们[men]要[yao]预[yu]设[she]止[zhi]损[sun]位[wei]呢[ne]?因[yin]为[wei],每[mei]一[yi]次[ci]具[ju]体[ti]的[de]入[ru]场[chang]、出[chu]场[chang]交[jiao]易[yi]决[jue]策[ce],都[du]是[shi]基[ji]于[yu]概[gai]率[lv]优[you]势[shi],没[mei]有[you]100%。或[huo]者[zhe],我[wo]们[men]可[ke]以[yi]列[lie]这[zhe]样[yang]的[de]算[suan]式[shi]:70~80%的[de]概[gai]率[lv]优[you]势[shi]+止[zhi]损[sun]=100%。


    止[zhi]损[sun]对[dui]于[yu]一[yi]个[ge]投[tou]资[zi]者[zhe]而[er]言[yan],是[shi]一[yi]系[xi]列[lie]操[cao]盘[pan]程[cheng]序[xu]的[de]重[zhong]要[yao]一[yi]环[huan],没[mei]有[you]任[ren]何[he]感[gan]情[qing]色[se]彩[cai],虽[sui]壮[zhuang]士[shi]断[duan]臂[bi],却[que]无[wu]比[bi]自[zi]然[ran]。不[bu]善[shan]止[zhi]损[sun],一[yi]次[ci]大[da]亏[kui],足[zu]以[yi]输[shu]掉[diao]前[qian]面[mian]99次[ci]的[de]利[li]润[run],所[suo]以[yi]严[yan]格[ge]执[zhi]行[xing]止[zhi]损[sun],才[cai]可[ke]能[nen]在[zai]资[zi]本[ben]市[shi]场[chang]长[chang]期[qi]生[sheng]存[cun]。


    近[jin]期[qi]小[xiao]编[bian]翻[fan]遍[bian]所[suo]有[you]的[de]翻[fan]倍[bei]股[gu],发[fa]现[xian]他[ta]们[men]都[du]离[li]不[bu]开[kai]以[yi]下[xia]四[si]点[dian],下[xia]面[mian]小[xiao]编[bian]就[jiu]来[lai]介[jie]绍[shao]下[xia],希[xi]望[wang]能[nen]够[gou]帮[bang]助[zhu]大[da]家[jia]。


    第[di]一[yi],成[cheng]长[chang]能[nen]力[li]越[yue]强[qiang],涨[zhang]幅[fu]越[yue]大[da]。


    数[shu]据[ju]分[fen]析[xi]发[fa]现[xian],成[cheng]长[chang]性[xing]是[shi]股[gu]价[jia]上[shang]涨[zhang]的[de]催[cui]化[hua]剂[ji]。公[gong]司[si]成[cheng]长[chang]性[xing]越[yue]高[gao],近[jin]5年[nian]涨[zhang]幅[fu]越[yue]大[da]。从[cong]相[xiang]关[guan]系[xi]数[shu]来[lai]看[kan],代[dai]表[biao]公[gong]司[si]成[cheng]长[chang]能[nen]力[li]的[de]营[ying]收[shou]、净[jing]利[li]近[jin]5年[nian]复[fu]合[he]增[zeng]速[su]和[he]股[gu]价[jia]涨[zhang]幅[fu]正[zheng]相[xiang]关[guan],且[qie]在[zai]统[tong]计[ji]学[xue]意[yi]义[yi]上[shang]显[xian]著[zhu]。从[cong]分[fen]组[zu]数[shu]据[ju]来[lai]看[kan],随[sui]着[zhou]翻[fan]倍[bei]股[gu]涨[zhang]幅[fu]下[xia]降[jiang],营[ying]收[shou]和[he]净[jing]利[li]增[zeng]速[su]快[kuai]速[su]收[shou]窄[zhai]。10倍[bei]股[gu]营[ying]收[shou]、净[jing]利[li]增[zeng]速[su]中[zhong]位[wei]数[shu]分[fen]别[bie]是[shi]51.77%、60.56%,比[bi]上[shang]涨[zhang]1-3倍[bei]的[de]股[gu]票[piao]分[fen]别[bie]高[gao]出[chu]38、45个[ge]百[bai]分[fen]点[dian]。具[ju]体[ti]来[lai]看[kan],11只[zhi]涨[zhang]幅[fu]超[chao]过[guo]10倍[bei]的[de]个[ge]股[gu]中[zhong],有[you]8只[zhi]营[ying]收[shou]和[he]增[zeng]速[su]都[du]超[chao]过[guo]老[lao]板[ban]电[dian]器[qi]。涨[zhang]幅[fu]居[ji]首[shou]的[de]三[san]聚[ju]环[huan]保[bao]五[wu]年[nian]累[lei]计[ji]上[shang]涨[zhang]18倍[bei],年[nian]化[hua]收[shou]益[yi]率[lv]80%,是[shi]当[dang]之[zhi]无[wu]愧[kui]的[de]大[da]牛[niu]股[gu]。该[gai]股[gu]业[ye]绩[ji]同[tong]样[yang]耀[yao]眼[yan],近[jin]5年[nian]营[ying]收[shou]和[he]净[jing]利[li]复[fu]合[he]增[zeng]速[su]分[fen]别[bie]是[shi]96.36%、76.26%。


    其[qi]它[ta]类[lei]似[si]的[de]个[ge]股[gu]还[huai]包[bao]括[kuo]信[xin]维[wei]通[tong]信[xin]、兴[xing]源[yuan]环[huan]境[jing]等[deng]。值[zhi]得[de]注[zhu]意[yi]的[de]是[shi],业[ye]绩[ji]增[zeng]速[su]的[de]稳[wen]健[jian]性[xing]并[bing]非[fei]股[gu]价[jia]走[zou]强[qiang]的[de]必[bi]要[yao]条[tiao]件[jian],不[bu]少[shao]业[ye]绩[ji]弹[dan]性[xing]较[jiao]高[gao]的[de]股[gu]票[piao]在[zai]短[duan]时[shi]间[jian]内[na]仍[reng]实[shi]现[xian]快[kuai]速[su]上[shang]涨[zhang]。典[dian]型[xing]如[ru]同[tong]花[hua]顺[shun],近[jin]5年[nian]营[ying]收[shou]增[zeng]速[su]分[fen]别[bie]是[shi]-20.09%、6.89%、44.44%、442.91%、20.23%,业[ye]绩[ji]在[zai]2014、2015年[nian]呈[cheng]现[xian]爆[bao]发[fa]式[shi]增[zeng]长[chang],股[gu]价[jia]也[ye]在[zai]2015年[nian]牛[niu]市[shi]期[qi]间[jian]达[da]到[dao]顶[ding]峰[feng],此[ci]后[hou]业[ye]绩[ji]和[he]股[gu]价[jia]齐[qi]落[luo],但[dan]至[zhi]今[jin]仍[reng]有[you]14.77倍[bei]涨[zhang]幅[fu]。


    第[di]二[er],市[shi]值[zhi]越[yue]小[xiao],涨[zhang]幅[fu]越[yue]大[da]。


    市[shi]值[zhi]大[da]小[xiao]是[shi]影[ying]响[xiang]股[gu]价[jia]差[cha]异[yi]的[de]另[ling]一[yi]个[ge]重[zhong]要[yao]因[yin]素[su],小[xiao]市[shi]值[zhi]偏[pian]好[hao]在[zai]过[guo]去[qu]的[de]几[ji]年[nian]尤[you]为[wei]明[ming]显[xian]。统[tong]计[ji]数[shu]据[ju]显[xian]示[shi],翻[fan]倍[bei]股[gu]涨[zhang]幅[fu]和[he]2012年[nian]初[chu]流[liu]通[tong]市[shi]值[zhi]显[xian]著[zhu]负[fu]相[xiang]关[guan],不[bu]同[tong]组[zu]别[bie]数[shu]据[ju]也[ye]得[de]出[chu]这[zhe]一[yi]结[jie]论[lun]。如[ru]10倍[bei]股[gu]在[zai]2012年[nian]初[chu]期[qi]市[shi]值[zhi]中[zhong]位[wei]数[shu]是[shi]8.85亿[yi]元[yuan],1-3倍[bei]股[gu]为[wei]15.52亿[yi]元[yuan],二[er]者[zhe]相[xiang]差[cha]近[jin]7亿[yi]元[yuan]。10倍[bei]中[zhong]仅[jin]有[you]3只[zhi]股[gu]票[piao]市[shi]值[zhi]在[zai]10亿[yi]元[yuan]以[yi]上[shang],三[san]聚[ju]环[huan]保[bao]2012年[nian]初[chu]流[liu]通[tong]市[shi]值[zhi]为[wei]13.97亿[yi],同[tong]花[hua]顺[shun]、网[wang]宿[su]科[ke]技[ji]、万[wan]丰[feng]奥[ao]威[wei]等[deng]流[liu]通[tong]市[shi]值[zhi]均[jun]在[zai]10亿[yi]元[yuan]以[yi]下[xia]。究[jiu]其[qi]原[yuan]因[yin],小[xiao]市[shi]值[zhi]股[gu]票[piao]有[you]更[geng]大[da]的[de]成[cheng]长[chang]空[kong]间[jian]和[he]业[ye]绩[ji]弹[dan]性[xing],在[zai]交[jiao]易[yi]层[ceng]面[mian]有[you]更[geng]好[hao]的[de]活[huo]跃[yue]度[du]和[he]流[liu]动[dong]性[xing],在[zai]其[qi]它[ta]条[tiao]件[jian]近[jin]似[si]的[de]情[qing]形[xing]下[xia],更[geng]容[rong]易[yi]受[shou]到[dao]资[zi]金[jin]青[qing]睐[lai]。比[bi]如[ru]业[ye]绩[ji]白[bai]马[ma]股[gu]贵[gui]州[zhou]茅[mao]台[tai]、格[ge]力[li]电[dian]器[qi]近[jin]5年[nian]虽[sui]然[ran]业[ye]绩[ji]增[zeng]长[chang]稳[wen]定[ding],但[dan]都[du]不[bu]在[zai]10倍[bei]股[gu]行[xing]列[lie]。


    第[di]三[san],定[ding]增[zeng]融[rong]资[zi]额[e]越[yue]高[gao],涨[zhang]幅[fu]越[yue]大[da]。


    研[yan]究[jiu]结[jie]论[lun]显[xian]示[shi],近[jin]5年[nian]上[shang]市[shi]公[gong]司[si]定[ding]增[zeng]融[rong]资[zi]总[zong]额[e]也[ye]是[shi]影[ying]响[xiang]股[gu]票[piao]涨[zhang]幅[fu]的[de]关[guan]键[jian]因[yin]素[su]之[zhi]一[yi]。定[ding]增[zeng]融[rong]资[zi]额[e]越[yue]高[gao],股[gu]价[jia]涨[zhang]幅[fu]越[yue]大[da]。从[cong]不[bu]同[tong]组[zu]的[de]数[shu]据[ju]来[lai]看[kan],10倍[bei]股[gu]增[zeng]发[fa]募[mu]资[zi]中[zhong]位[wei]数[shu]为[wei]23.18亿[yi]元[yuan],较[jiao]1-3倍[bei]股[gu]高[gao]出[chu]近[jin]18亿[yi]元[yuan]。从[cong]相[xiang]关[guan]系[xi]数[shu]来[lai]看[kan],个[ge]股[gu]涨[zhang]幅[fu]和[he]增[zeng]发[fa]募[mu]资[zi]金[jin]额[e]显[xian]著[zhu]正[zheng]相[xiang]关[guan]。近[jin]年[nian]来[lai]上[shang]市[shi]公[gong]司[si]受[shou]益[yi]于[yu]再[zai]融[rong]资[zi]宽[kuan]松[song]环[huan]境[jing],不[bu]少[shao]公[gong]司[si]借[jie]力[li]资[zi]本[ben]市[shi]场[chang],依[yi]靠[kao]外[wai]延[yan]式[shi]增[zeng]长[chang]使[shi]得[de]业[ye]绩[ji]实[shi]现[xian]质[zhi]的[de]飞[fei]跃[yue]。再[zai]融[rong]资[zi]繁[fan]荣[rong]的[de]同[tong]时[shi]伴[ban]生[sheng]不[bu]少[shao]乱[luan]象[xiang],如[ru]高[gao]估[gu]值[zhi]、高[gao]溢[yi]价[jia]、高[gao]业[ye]绩[ji]承[cheng]诺[nuo]等[deng]等[deng],忽[hu]悠[you]式[shi]重[zhong]组[zu]也[ye]是[shi]监[jian]管[guan]层[ceng]近[jin]期[qi]着[zhou]力[li]整[zheng]治[zhi]的[de]对[dui]象[xiang]。从[cong]长[chang]远[yuan]来[lai]看[kan],依[yi]靠[kao]外[wai]延[yan]式[shi]增[zeng]长[chang]的[de]逻[luo]辑[ji]或[huo]将[jiang]发[fa]生[sheng]较[jiao]大[da]改[gai]变[bian],单[dan]纯[chun]依[yi]靠[kao]花[hua]钱[qian]买[mai]业[ye]绩[ji]实[shi]现[xian]增[zeng]长[chang]的[de]模[mo]式[shi]将[jiang]很[hen]难[nan]持[chi]续[xu]。


    第[di]四[si],盈[ying]利[li]能[nen]力[li]越[yue]强[qiang],涨[zhang]幅[fu]越[yue]大[da]。


    从[cong]数[shu]据[ju]统[tong]计[ji]结[jie]果[guo]来[lai]看[kan],和[he]前[qian]3个[ge]因[yin]素[su]相[xiang]比[bi],盈[ying]利[li]能[nen]力[li]影[ying]响[xiang]相[xiang]对[dui]较[jiao]弱[ruo]。从[cong]表[biao]中[zhong]可[ke]以[yi]看[kan]出[chu],涨[zhang]幅[fu]越[yue]高[gao]的[de]组[zu]中[zhong],代[dai]表[biao]盈[ying]利[li]能[nen]力[li]的[de]净[jing]资[zi]产[chan]收[shou]益[yi]率[lv]越[yue]高[gao]。10倍[bei]股[gu]净[jing]资[zi]产[chan]收[shou]益[yi]率[lv]中[zhong]位[wei]数[shu]是[shi]16.68%(近[jin]3年[nian]平[ping]均[jun]值[zhi],下[xia]同[tong]),比[bi]涨[zhang]幅[fu]在[zai]1-3倍[bei]的[de]股[gu]票[piao]高[gao]出[chu]约[yue]9个[ge]百[bai]分[fen]点[dian],组[zu]差[cha]小[xiao]于[yu]其[qi]它[ta]几[ji]项[xiang]因[yin]素[su]。相[xiang]关[guan]系[xi]数[shu]检[jian]验[yan]也[ye]佐[zuo]证[zheng]这[zhe]一[yi]结[jie]论[lun],股[gu]票[piao]涨[zhang]幅[fu]和[he]净[jing]资[zi]产[chan]收[shou]益[yi]率[lv]指[zhi]标[biao]正[zheng]相[xiang]关[guan],且[qie]在[zai]统[tong]计[ji]学[xue]意[yi]义[yi]上[shang]显[xian]著[zhu],但[dan]相[xiang]关[guan]性[xing]小[xiao]于[yu]其[qi]它[ta]三[san]项[xiang]因[yin]素[su]。具[ju]体[ti]来[lai]看[kan],12只[zhi]10倍[bei]股[gu]中[zhong],网[wang]宿[su]科[ke]技[ji]净[jing]资[zi]产[chan]收[shou]益[yi]率[lv]是[shi]31.73%,超[chao]过[guo]贵[gui]州[zhou]茅[mao]台[tai],三[san]聚[ju]环[huan]保[bao]、万[wan]丰[feng]奥[ao]威[wei]净[jing]资[zi]产[chan]收[shou]益[yi]率[lv]也[ye]在[zai]20%以[yi]上[shang]。


    除[chu]上[shang]述[shu]指[zhi]标[biao]之[zhi]外[wai],研[yan]发[fa]投[tou]入[ru]和[he]收[shou]益[yi]率[lv]也[ye]正[zheng]相[xiang]关[guan],10倍[bei]股[gu]研[yan]发[fa]投[tou]入[ru]占[zhan]营[ying]收[shou]比[bi]重[zhong]为[wei]3.87%,较[jiao]1-3倍[bei]股[gu]高[gao]出[chu]约[yue]1.9个[ge]百[bai]分[fen]点[dian]。研[yan]发[fa]投[tou]入[ru]是[shi]高[gao]成[cheng]长[chang]个[ge]股[gu]的[de]主[zhu]要[yao]动[dong]力[li]之[zhi]一[yi],如[ru]10倍[bei]股[gu]网[wang]宿[su]科[ke]技[ji]近[jin]三[san]年[nian]研[yan]发[fa]投[tou]入[ru]占[zhan]比[bi]都[du]在[zai]10%左[zuo]右[you]。此[ci]外[wai],股[gu]息[xi]率[lv]是[shi]我[wo]们[men]关[guan]注[zhu]的[de]另[ling]一[yi]个[ge]重[zhong]要[yao]指[zhi]标[biao],从[cong]数[shu]据[ju]分[fen]析[xi]来[lai]看[kan]股[gu]息[xi]率[lv]和[he]收[shou]益[yi]率[lv]成[cheng]反[fan]比[bi],这[zhe]和[he]常[chang]规[gui]认[ren]识[shi]有[you]所[suo]差[cha]异[yi]。我[wo]们[men]认[ren]为[wei]出[chu]现[xian]这[zhe]种[zhong]情[qing]况[kuang]的[de]主[zhu]要[yao]原[yuan]因[yin]是[shi],近[jin]5年[nian]来[lai]收[shou]益[yi]较[jiao]高[gao]的[de]股[gu]票[piao]小[xiao]市[shi]值[zhi]因[yin]子[zi]明[ming]显[xian],但[dan]从[cong]实[shi]际[ji]情[qing]况[kuang]来[lai]看[kan],股[gu]息[xi]率[lv]较[jiao]高[gao]的[de]股[gu]票[piao]整[zheng]体[ti]市[shi]值[zhi]较[jiao]大[da],因[yin]此[ci]股[gu]息[xi]率[lv]和[he]收[shou]益[yi]率[lv]成[cheng]反[fan]向[xiang]相[xiang]关[guan]。其[qi]次[ci],股[gu]息[xi]率[lv]指[zhi]标[biao]以[yi]股[gu]价[jia]为[wei]分[fen]母[mu],是[shi]个[ge]动[dong]态[tai]指[zhi]标[biao],静[jing]态[tai]衡[heng]量[liang]和[he]涨[zhang]幅[fu]之[zhi]间[jian]的[de]关[guan]系[xi]存[cun]在[zai]偏[pian]差[cha]。


    不[bu]过[guo],上[shang]述[shu]分[fen]析[xi]因[yin]素[su]都[du]是[shi]能[nen]够[gou]量[liang]化[hua]的[de],忽[hu]略[lue]了[liao]重[zhong]要[yao]的[de]行[xing]业[ye]和[he]题[ti]材[cai]等[deng]因[yin]素[su],这[zhe]些[xie]也[ye]是[shi]影[ying]响[xiang]股[gu]价[jia]走[zou]势[shi]的[de]重[zhong]要[yao]因[yin]素[su]。


    基[ji]本[ben]面[mian]选[xuan]股[gu]的[de]六[liu]大[da]技[ji]巧[qiao]


    市[shi]场[chang]上[shang]千[qian]万[wan]种[zhong]股[gu]票[piao],如[ru]何[he]选[xuan]择[ze]股[gu]票[piao]进[jin]行[xing]投[tou]资[zi],实[shi]在[zai]是[shi]一[yi]件[jian]难[nan]事[shi]。基[ji]本[ben]面[mian]选[xuan]股[gu]到[dao]底[di]要[yao]从[cong]哪[na]里[li]入[ru]手[shou]?关[guan]注[zhu]哪[na]些[xie]重[zhong]点[dian]?下[xia]面[mian]就[jiu]为[wei]大[da]家[jia]具[ju]体[ti]概[gai]括[kuo]基[ji]本[ben]面[mian]分[fen]析[xi]法[fa]的[de]要[yao]领[ling]:


    1.根[gen]据[ju]经[jing]济[ji]周[zhou]期[qi]选[xuan]股[gu]


    大[da]家[jia]都[du]知[zhi]道[dao]宏[hong]观[guan]经[jing]济[ji]是[shi]遵[zun]循[xun]繁[fan]荣[rong]——衰[shuai]退[tui]——萧[xiao]条[tiao]——复[fu]苏[su]这[zhe]样[yang]一[yi]个[ge]循[xun]环[huan]往[wang]复[fu]的[de]经[jing]济[ji]周[zhou]期[qi]过[guo]程[cheng]。不[bu]同[tong]行[xing]业[ye]的[de]公[gong]司[si]股[gu]票[piao]在[zai]经[jing]济[ji]周[zhou]期[qi]的[de]不[bu]同[tong]阶[jie]段[duan],市[shi]场[chang]表[biao]现[xian]也[ye]不[bu]一[yi]样[yang]。有[you]的[de]公[gong]司[si]对[dui]经[jing]济[ji]周[zhou]期[qi]变[bian]动[dong]的[de]影[ying]响[xiang]极[ji]为[wei]敏[min]感[gan]。经[jing]济[ji]繁[fan]荣[rong]时[shi],公[gong]司[si]业[ye]务[wu]加[jia]速[su]发[fa]展[zhan];反[fan]之[zhi],经[jing]济[ji]衰[shuai]退[tui]时[shi],其[qi]业[ye]绩[ji]也[ye]明[ming]显[xian]下[xia]降[jiang]。另[ling]一[yi]类[lei]公[gong]司[si]受[shou]经[jing]济[ji]繁[fan]荣[rong]或[huo]衰[shuai]退[tui]的[de]影[ying]响[xiang]则[ze]不[bu]大[da]。因[yin]此[ci],在[zai]复[fu]苏[su]及[ji]经[jing]济[ji]繋[_]荣[rong]时[shi]期[qi],布[bu]局[ju]周[zhou]期[qi]性[xing]行[xing]业[ye]往[wang]往[wang]收[shou]益[yi]颇[po]丰[feng]。


    2.看[kan]公[gong]司[si]业[ye]绩[ji]


    我[wo]们[men]评[ping]价[jia]股[gu]票[piao]的[de]时[shi]候[hou],基[ji]本[ben]上[shang]首[shou]先[xian]都[du]会[hui]提[ti]到[dao]业[ye]绩[ji],大[da]家[jia]要[yao]牢[lao]记[ji],公[gong]司[si]业[ye]绩[ji]是[shi]股[gu]票[piao]价[jia]格[ge]变[bian]动[dong]的[de]根[gen]本[ben]力[li]量[liang]。公[gong]司[si]业[ye]绩[ji]优[you]良[liang],其[qi]股[gu]票[piao]价[jia]格[ge]必[bi]将[jiang]稳[wen]步[bu]持[chi]续[xu]上[shang]升[sheng],反[fan]之[zhi]则[ze]会[hui]下[xia]降[jiang]。因[yin]此[ci],业[ye]绩[ji]是[shi]基[ji]本[ben]面[mian]分[fen]析[xi]的[de]重[zhong]中[zhong]之[zhi]重[zhong]。衡[heng]量[liang]公[gong]司[si]业[ye]绩[ji]的[de]最[zui]主[zhu]要[yao]指[zhi]标[biao]是[shi]每[mei]股[gu]盈[ying]利[li]及[ji]其[qi]增[zeng]长[chang]率[lv]。根[gen]据[ju]我[wo]国[guo]公[gong]司[si]的[de]现[xian]状[zhuang],,一[yi]般[ban]每[mei]股[gu]税[shui]后[hou]盈[ying]利[li]0.8元[yuan]以[yi]上[shang]且[qie]年[nian]增[zeng]长[chang]率[lv]在[zai]25%以[yi]上[shang]的[de],具[ju]有[you]中[zhong]长[chang]期[qi]投[tou]资[zi]价[jia]值[zhi]。


    3.看[kan]公[gong]司[si]每[mei]股[gu]净[jing]资[zi]产[chan]


    每[mei]股[gu]净[jing]资[zi]产[chan]值[zhi]即[ji]股[gu]票[piao]的[de]“含[han]金[jin]量[liang]”,它[ta]是[shi]股[gu]票[piao]的[de]内[na]在[zai]价[jia]值[zhi],是[shi]公[gong]司[si]即[ji]期[qi]资[zi]产[chan]中[zhong]真[zhen]正[zheng]属[shu]于[yu]股[gu]东[dong]的[de]且[qie]有[you]实[shi]物[wu]或[huo]现[xian]金[jin]形[xing]式[shi]存[cun]在[zai]的[de]权[quan]益[yi]。通[tong]常[chang]情[qing]况[kuang]下[xia],每[mei]股[gu]净[jing]资[zi]产[chan]值[zhi]必[bi]须[xu]高[gao]于[yu]每[mei]股[gu]票[piao]面[mian]值[zhi],但[dan]通[tong]常[chang]低[di]于[yu]股[gu]票[piao]市[shi]价[jia],因[yin]为[wei]市[shi]价[jia]总[zong]是[shi]包[bao]含[han]了[liao]投[tou]资[zi]者[zhe]的[de]预[yu]期[qi]。在[zai]市[shi]价[jia]一[yi]定[ding]的[de]情[qing]况[kuang]下[xia],每[mei]股[gu]净[jing]资[zi]产[chan]值[zhi]越[yue]高[gao]的[de]股[gu]票[piao]越[yue]具[ju]有[you]投[tou]资[zi]价[jia]值[zhi]。所[suo]谓[wei]路[lu]遥[yao]知[zhi]马[ma]力[li],无[wu]论[lun]你[ni]公[gong]司[si]成[cheng]立[li]时[shi]间[jian]有[you]多[duo]长[chang],也[ye]不[bu]管[guan]你[ni]公[gong]司[si]上[shang]市[shi]有[you]多[duo]久[jiu],只[zhi]要[yao]你[ni]的[de]净[jing]资[zi]产[chan]是[shi]不[bu]断[duan]增[zeng]加[jia]的[de],尤[you]其[qi]是[shi]每[mei]股[gu]净[jing]资[zi]产[chan]是[shi]不[bu]断[duan]提[ti]升[sheng]的[de](每[mei]股[gu]净[jing]资[zi]产[chan]增[zeng]长[chang]大[da]于[yu]0),则[ze]表[biao]明[ming]公[gong]司[si]正[zheng]处[chu]在[zai]不[bu]断[duan]成[cheng]长[chang]之[zhi]中[zhong]。相[xiang]反[fan],如[ru]果[guo]公[gong]司[si]每[mei]股[gu]净[jing]资[zi]产[chan]不[bu]断[duan]下[xia]降[jiang],则[ze]公[gong]司[si]前[qian]景[jing]就[jiu]不[bu]妙[miao]。因[yin]此[ci],大[da]家[jia]应[ying]选[xuan]择[ze]每[mei]股[gu]净[jing]资[zi]产[chan]值[zhi]高[gao]的[de]股[gu]票[piao]进[jin]行[xing]投[tou]资[zi]。


    4.看[kan]公[gong]司[si]市[shi]盈[ying]率[lv]


    市[shi]盈[ying]率[lv]是[shi]一[yi]个[ge]综[zong]合[he]性[xing]指[zhi]标[biao],长[chang]线[xian]投[tou]资[zi]者[zhe]可[ke]以[yi]从[cong]中[zhong]看[kan]出[chu]股[gu]票[piao]投[tou]资[zi]的[de]翻[fan]本[ben]期[qi],短[duan]线[xian]投[tou]资[zi]者[zhe]则[ze]可[ke]从[cong]中[zhong]观[guan]察[cha]到[dao]股[gu]票[piao]价[jia]格[ge]的[de]高[gao]低[di]。一[yi]般[ban]来[lai]说[shuo],应[ying]选[xuan]择[ze]市[shi]盈[ying]率[lv]较[jiao]低[di]的[de]股[gu]票[piao]。但[dan]市[shi]盈[ying]率[lv]长[chang]期[qi]偏[pian]低[di]的[de]股[gu]票[piao]未[wei]必[bi]值[zhi]得[de]选[xuan]择[ze],因[yin]为[wei]它[ta]可[ke]能[nen]是[shi]不[bu]活[huo]跃[yue]、不[bu]被[bei]大[da]多[duo]数[shu]投[tou]资[zi]者[zhe]看[kan]好[hao]的[de]股[gu]票[piao],而[er]市[shi]场[chang]永[yong]远[yuan]是[shi]由[you]大[da]众[zhong]行[xing]为[wei]决[jue]定[ding]的[de]。因[yin]此[ci],其[qi]价[jia]格[ge]也[ye]很[hen]难[nan]攀[pan]升[sheng]。至[zhi]于[yu]市[shi]盈[ying]率[lv]究[jiu]竟[jing]在[zai]何[he]种[zhong]水[shui]平[ping]的[de]股[gu]票[piao]值[zhi]得[de]选[xuan]择[ze],并[bing]无[wu]绝[jue]对[dui]标[biao]准[zhun]。从[cong]我[wo]国[guo]目[mu]前[qian]经[jing]济[ji]发[fa]展[zhan]和[he]企[qi]业[ye]成[cheng]长[chang]状[zhuang]况[kuang]来[lai]看[kan],市[shi]盈[ying]率[lv]在[zai]20左[zuo]右[you]不[bu]算[suan]高[gao]。


    5.看[kan]每[mei]股[gu]公[gong]积[ji]金[jin]


    每[mei]股[gu]公[gong]积[ji]金[jin]就[jiu]是[shi]公[gong]积[ji]金[jin]除[chu]股[gu]票[piao]总[zong]股[gu]数[shu]。公[gong]积[ji]金[jin]是[shi]公[gong]司[si]的[de]“最[zui]后[hou]储[chu]备[bei]”,它[ta]既[ji]是[shi]公[gong]司[si]未[wei]来[lai]扩[kuo]张[zhang]的[de]物[wu]质[zhi]基[ji]础[chu],也[ye]可[ke]以[yi]是[shi]股[gu]东[dong]未[wei]来[lai]转[zhuan]赠[zeng]红[hong]股[gu]的[de]希[xi]望[wang]之[zhi]所[suo]在[zai]。没[mei]有[you]公[gong]积[ji]金[jin]的[de]上[shang]市[shi]公[gong]司[si],就[jiu]是[shi]没[mei]有[you]希[xi]望[wang]的[de]上[shang]市[shi]公[gong]司[si]。因[yin]此[ci]每[mei]股[gu]公[gong]积[ji]金[jin]也[ye]是[shi]不[bu]可[ke]忽[hu]视[shi]的[de]指[zhi]标[biao]。个[ge]股[gu]的[de]主[zhu]要[yao]财[cai]务[wu]指[zhi]标[biao]在[zai]炒[chao]股[gu]软[ruan]件[jian]中[zhong]按[an]F10都[du]能[nen]看[kan]到[dao]。


    6.结[jie]合[he]消[xiao]息[xi]面[mian]选[xuan]择[ze]行[xing]业[ye]板[ban]块[kuai]


    大[da]家[jia]都[du]知[zhi]道[dao]中[zhong]国[guo]股[gu]市[shi]是[shi]政[zheng]策[ce]市[shi],看[kan]新[xin]闻[wen]热[re]点[dian]必[bi]不[bu]可[ke]少[shao],根[gen]据[ju]消[xiao]息[xi]面[mian]利[li]好[hao]选[xuan]择[ze]受[shou]益[yi]行[xing]业[ye],以[yi]及[ji]规[gui]避[bi]有[you]利[li]空[kong]消[xiao]息[xi]的[de]行[xing]业[ye]板[ban]块[kuai],也[ye]是[shi]基[ji]本[ben]面[mian]分[fen]析[xi]的[de]一[yi]大[da]要[yao]领[ling],这[zhe]方[fang]面[mian]的[de]功[gong]力[li]冰[bing]冻[dong]三[san]尺[chi]非[fei]一[yi]日[ri]之[zhi]寒[han],欲[yu]练[lian]此[ci]功[gong]先[xian]从[cong]每[mei]日[ri]看[kan]新[xin]闻[wen]做[zuo]起[qi],培[pei]养[yang]抓[zhua]热[re]点[dian]的[de]敏[min]锐[rui]度[du]。


    如[ru]果[guo]您[nin]喜[xi]欢[huan]以[yi]上[shang]文[wen]章[zhang],想[xiang]了[liao]解[jie]更[geng]多[duo]股[gu]市[shi]投[tou]资[zi]经[jing]验[yan]及[ji]技[ji]巧[qiao],关[guan]注[zhu]公[gong]众[zhong]号[hao]越[yue]声[sheng]投[tou]顾[gu](yslcw927)),干[gan]货[huo]很[hen]多[duo]!



    读完上述,同学们应该清楚"介绍清华大学教授30年炒股经验总结,沪深两市几乎所有翻倍股,发现他们都有以下四个特征,掌握终身受益"了吧?已经上文全部介绍完毕了,大家应该都了解了吧,如果你要学习投资理财的话,应该要掌握以上的技巧哦

    转载请注明来自,本文标题:清华大学教授30年炒股经验总结,沪深两市几乎所有翻倍股,发现他们都有以下四个特征,掌握终身受益
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